How to start the home price forecast early next year?

According to the monthly KB housing market trend data released by KB Real Estate, the capital area (1.29%) decreased from the previous month's (1.53%) increase. In the metropolitan area, the increase rate was high in Gyeonggi (1.51%), and Incheon (0.65%) also rose. Seoul (1.24%) showed a smaller increase than last month (1.66%). Five metropolitan cities (1.93%) also rose, while Ulsan (2.61%) rose high, and Daegu (2.36%), Busan (2.13%), Gwangju (1.20%), and Daejeon (1.03%) all rose.

 

Other regions (0.91%) rose in Gyeongbuk (1.19%), Gyeongnam (1.01%), Chungnam (0.86%), Chungbuk (0.54%), Jeonbuk (0.50%), Jeonnam (0.48%), and Gangwon (0.43%). did.

 

In December, home sales in Seoul rose 1.24%, recording a 1% increase for the second consecutive month. Seoul apartments decreased to 1.32%. Detached houses showed a 0.94% increase, and the rate of increase fell slightly, and row houses increased 1.22%, resulting in a rise of 1.24%, slightly lower than last month's increase (1.66%). The housing sale price in the Gangnam area (11 districts) rose 1.28%, and the rate of change was slightly higher than that of the Gangbuk area (14 districts) 1.21%. In particular, Songpa-gu (2.57%), Seocho-gu (1.16%), and Gangnam-gu (1.01%) showed a larger increase compared to the previous month. Nowon-gu (1.78%), Dobong-gu (1.38%), Seodaemun-gu (0.65%), and Gangbuk-gu (0.55%), which showed strong performance last month, showed a slowing in the rise.

 

Gyeonggi (1.51%) and Incheon (0.65%) showed a slight decrease in the upward trend. In the Gyeonggi area, Goyang Ilsanseo-gu (4.56%), Paju (3.68%), Goyang Ilsandong-gu (3.34%), Gimpo (3.11%), and Seongnam Jungwon-gu (2.50%) rose higher and Icheon (-0.03%) fell.